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姓名 張峻維(Jun-Wei Zhang) 電子郵件信箱 E-mail 資料不公開
畢業系所 政治學研究所(Political Science)
畢業學位 碩士(Master) 畢業時期 104學年第1學期
論文名稱(中) 真的是紅隊嗎?從沈大偉的中國研究論區分紅藍隊學者之妥適性
論文名稱(英) Problematizing the Red-Blue Divide in American China Studies via David Shambaugh’s Narratives
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    摘要(中) 「紅隊」或「藍隊」是對美國中國問題專家的分類,然而紅藍隊的劃分近年已開始遭受質疑。本文就希望藉由整理美國著名紅隊學者沈大偉的中國研究達到認識沈大偉的中國觀和探討以紅藍隊區分學者是否妥當等目的。本文主要採取文獻分析法和文本分析法來解讀沈大偉對中國的觀察。首先分別蒐集沈大偉的研究文獻,接著按照不同議題及時間加以分類,發現沈大偉無論對中國對外關係或內部治理相關議題的看法都隨時間有著不同的變化。這證明了學者即便在同一議題上的立場也可能隨中國改變政策而有所演變,用某時期的論述加以分類並不適當。另外,沈大偉的中國黨政研究所引起爭議還顯示他紅隊學者的身分可能使外界只關注他對中國的肯定而忽略他提出的批判。本文同時比較沈大偉與其他紅隊學者們的研究,結果顯示同陣營學者對同一議題可能相當不同的觀點,即便預測結果相同,推論的過程也有不小差異。綜上所述,本文結論認為紅藍隊分類容易使我們錯誤解讀學者的研究且不足以區分學者。
    摘要(英) " Red Team " and " Blue Team " is a popular classification system for American-China experts. However, this Red-Blue division has been questioned in recent years. The purpose of this study is to examine the conception of China adopted by the leading American China expert, David Shambaugh, who is usually considered as a member of Red Team. It then critically evaluates the Red-Blue division. This thesis concludes that the impression that Shanbaugh is Red Team does not hold well. Past readers cite his approval of the Communist Party's strength but fail to attend to his qualification. This thesis further compares Shambaugh's perspective with other presumably Red Team scholars and traces their different views on same issues. Even where they draw similar conclusions, they rely on different inferential processes.
    關鍵字(中)
  • 沈大偉
  • 紅隊
  • 藍隊
  • 中國問題專家
  • 對外關係
  • 內部治理
  • 關鍵字(英)
  • internal affairs
  • China experts
  • Blue Team
  • Red Team
  • foreign relations
  • Davis Shambaugh
  • 論文目次 論文審定書 i
    論文謝辭 ii
    中文摘要 iii
    英文摘要 iv
    第壹章 緒論01
    第一節 研究目的及背景01
    第二節 問題意識04
    第三節 文獻回顧05
    第四節 研究方法及限制15
    第五節 章節安排16
    第貳章 沈大偉的觀點—中國對外關係18
    第一節 中美關係18
    第二節 中國與其他國家關係31
    第三節 中國戰略安全觀38
    第參章 沈大偉的觀點—中國內部治理45
    第一節 中國黨政45
    第二節 中國軍事71
    第三節 中國經濟76
    第肆章 紅隊學者的比較—沈大偉、藍普頓和謝淑麗82
    第一節 藍普頓的研究介紹82
    第二節 謝淑麗的研究介紹91
    第三節 比較三位紅隊學者的異同96
    第伍章 結論107
    參考文獻115
    參考文獻 中文書目
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    許少民,2013,〈全球參與者、身分困境與全球性大國—評《中國走向全球:羽翼未豐的大國》〉,《國際政治研究》,(3): 176-184。
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    外文書目
    Cole, Bernard D.. 2003. “Review: Modernizing China's Military: Progress, Problems, and Prospects by David Shambaugh.” The Journal of Military History 67(3): 1004-1006.
    Dittmer, Lowell. 1994. “Review: Beautiful Imperialist: China Perceives America, 1972-1990 by David Shambaugh.” Bulletin of the School of Oriental and African Studies, University of London, 57(3): 624-625.
    Fewsmith, Joseph. 2008. “Review: China's Communist Party: Atrophy and Adaptation by David Shambaugh.” The China Quarterly (195): 691-692.
    Finkelstein, David M.. 2003. “Review: Modernizing China's Military: Progress, Problems, and Prospects by David Shambaugh.” The Journal of Asian Studies 62(4): 1230-1232.
    Garson, Robert. 1992. “Review: Beautiful Imperialist: China Perceives America, 1972-1990. by David Shambaugh.” International Affairs (Royal Institute of International Affairs 1944-) 68(4): 717.
    Klein, Donald W.. 1992. “Review: Beautiful Imperialist: China Perceives America, 1972-1990. by David Shambaugh.” Pacific Affairs 65(3): 401-402.
    Lanteigne, Marc. 2008. “Review: China's Communist Party: Atrophy and Adaptation by David Shambaugh.” International Affairs (Royal Institute of International Affairs 1944-) 84(5): 691-692.
    Mertha, Andrew. 2009. “Review: China's Communist Party: Atrophy and Adaptation by David Shambaugh.” The China Journal (62): 174-176.
    Mulvenon, James. 2004. “Review: Modernizing China's Military: Progress, Problems, and Prospects by David Shambaugh.” The China Quarterly (177): 215-216.
    Munro, Ross H.. 1992. “Awakening Dragon: The Real Danger in Asia Is from China.” Policy Review (62): 10-16.
    Pye, Lucian W.. 1992. “Review: Beautiful Imperialist: China Perceives America, 1972-1990 by David Shambaugh.” The China Quarterly, (129): 229-231.
    Shambaugh, David. 1988. “Anti-Americanism in China.” The ANNALS of the American Academy of Political and Social Science 497 (1): 142-156.
    Shambaugh, David. 1991. Beautiful imperialist : China perceives America, 1972-1990. Princeton, N.J: Princeton University Press.
    Shambaugh, David. 1995. “The United States and China: A New Cold War?.” Current History 94 (593): 241-247.
    Shambaugh, David. 1999/2000. “China's Military Views the World: Ambivalent Security.” International Security24(3): 52-79
    Shambaugh, David. 2000. Is China Unstable?: Assessing the Factors. Armonk, N.Y.: M. E. Sharpe Inc.
    Shambaugh, David. 2001. “China or America: Which is the Revisionist Power?.” Survival: Global Politics and Strategy 43 (3): 25-30.
    Shambaugh, David. 2002. “Sino- American Relations since September 11 Can the New Stability Last?.” Current History 101 (656): 243-249.
    Shambaugh, David. 2004. “China and Europe: The Emerging Axis.” Current History 103 (674): 243-248.
    Shambaugh, David. 2004. “China Engages Asia: Reshaping the Regional Order.” International Security 29 (3): 64-99.
    Shambaugh, David. 2008. China’s Communist Party: Atrophy and Adaptation. Berkeley: University of California Press.
    Shambaugh, David. 2013. “Assessing China’s New Leadership One Year On.” Cross-Strait Developments in 2013: New Trends & Prospects, Washington, DC.
    Shambaugh, David. 2013. China goes global : the partial power. New York: Oxford University Press.
    Shambaugh, David. 2014. “China at the Crossroads: Ten Major Reform Challenges.” Brookings Institution: 1-18. pp.3-5
    Shih, Cheng-Feng. 2005. “Understanding the Red While Singing the Blue:Reading David Shambaugh by the Lines.” Tamkang Journal of International Affairs 8(3): 57-76.
    Singh, Gunjan. 2014. “Book Review: Shambaugh, David, 2013. China Goes Global: The Partial Power.” India Quarterly: A Journal of International Affairs (70): 183-185.
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    Wilson, Ian. 1996. “Review: Beautiful Imperialist: China Perceives America, 1972-1990. by David Shambaugh; American Studies of Contemporary China. by David Shambaugh.” The China Journal (35): 189-191.
    網路資源
    大衛•藍普頓,2015,〈藍普頓:中美關係逼近臨界點,需“第四個聯合公報”〉,共識網:http://www.21ccom.net/articles/world/zlwj/20150611125684_all.html,檢索日期:2015 年8 月10 日。
    方冰,2015,〈陸克文批沈大偉“中共崩潰論”胡說八道〉,美國之音:http://www.voachinese.com/content/rudd-refutes-20150504/2749378.html,檢索日期:2015 年7月1 日。
    沈大偉,2015,〈沈大偉:從習近平訪美觀察中美關係的十大指標〉,南華早報中文網:http://www.nanzao.com/tc/international/14ff4b37318fb11/shen-da-wei-cong-xi-jin-ping-fang-mei-guan-cha-zhong-mei-guan-xi-di-shi-da-zhi-biao,檢索日期:2015 年9月28 日。
    余東暉,2014,〈中評獨家專訪美國“紅軍”藍普頓〉,中國評論新聞網:http://hk.crntt.com/doc/1033/0/8/2/103308288_2.html?coluid=93&kindid=7950&docid=103308288&mdate=0730001724,檢索日期:2015年7月10日。
    余東暉,2015,〈沈大偉答中評:我跟章家敦不是一夥人〉,中國評論新聞網:http://hk.crntt.com/crn-webapp/search/allDetail.jsp?id=103695874&sw=沈大伟,檢索日期:2015 年6 月15 日。
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    口試委員
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  • 口試日期 2015-11-04 繳交日期 2015-11-13

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