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論文名稱 Title |
東協國家南海政策一致性趨勢研究 A trend study on the uniformity of ASEAN members regarding the South China Sea |
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系所名稱 Department |
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畢業學年期 Year, semester |
語文別 Language |
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學位類別 Degree |
頁數 Number of pages |
140 |
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研究生 Author |
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指導教授 Advisor |
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召集委員 Convenor |
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口試委員 Advisory Committee |
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口試日期 Date of Exam |
2012-01-12 |
繳交日期 Date of Submission |
2012-07-18 |
關鍵字 Keywords |
威脅平衡、東協聲索國、政策一致性、東協、南海核心利益說、南海利益 Balance of Threat, Uniformity, Core interest of South China Sea, South China Sea's interest, ASEAN Claims, ASEAN |
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統計 Statistics |
本論文已被瀏覽 5881 次,被下載 1218 次 The thesis/dissertation has been browsed 5881 times, has been downloaded 1218 times. |
中文摘要 |
南海位處東南亞至東北亞主要航道,海域資源豐富,加上海域劃界未定,使 南海議題成為現今東南亞局勢主要爭議之一。各國自身對南海利益的考量,讓 東協聲索國對於南海的主張與政策不盡相同,東協南海政策矛盾也沒有共識。 然而面對中國主張擁有全部南海主權所帶來的威脅,東協聲索國又希望藉由採 行集體策略,以東協整體與中國交涉,並透過多邊機制對話,試圖將南海議題 國際化。 故本文研究目的在於瞭解什麼因素將使東協國家在南海議題上趨向團結一 致?反之,什麼因素促成東協在南海議題上分歧、瓦解?根據威脅平衡論 (Balance of Threat),本文發現中國在南海對東協聲索國的威脅強度直接影 響東協國家南海結盟政治變化,進而影響東協聲索國南海政策一致程度。東協 是否在南海議題上能成為一整體,甚至加入一方陣營的主要因素,除了美國作 為權力平衡的另一方,更取決於中國在南海讓東協各國對所產生的威脅強度, 「中國南海核心利益說」即是一例。 |
Abstract |
The issue of South China Sea is one of the hottest international disputes in South East Asia due its location amid the connection between Southeast Asia to Northeast Asia and the rich resources. The undecided maritime delimitation makes the situation more complicated. Because each one of the ASEAN Claims has her own consideration of the interest, their claims and policies confront from each other's, and no consensus has been reached. However, encountering the fact that China proclaimed the entire region of South China Sea, ASEAN Claims attempt to unit themselves to deal with the threat, to negotiate the issue of South China Sea with China as a whole, and attempt to internationalize the issue. Thus, this paper is aimed to realize under what circumstance, ASEAN Claims will tend to unite in the issue of South China Sea, or vise versa, in what circumstance makes ASEAN Claims tend to collapse. According to the "Balance of Threat," China's threat to South China Sea affairs leads the changing of the unity of ASEAN Claims directly, and influences the consistency of South China Sea's policy. Besides the United States, the other side of the balance of the two counter powers, the treat brought by China in South China Sea affairs is the key to influence the South China Sea policy consistency of ASEAN Claims. "South China Sea Core interest" is one of match instance. |
目次 Table of Contents |
論文審定書................................................i 謝辭.....................................................iii 中文摘要.................................................v 英文摘要.................................................vi 第一章緒論............................................ 1 第一節研究動機................................................................................................1 第二節研究目的................................................................................................2 第三節研究方法................................................................................................3 第四節文獻回顧................................................................................................4 第五節章節安排..............................................................................................14 第二章制度約束:東協與南海問題........................ 15 第一節東協政策實踐主要原則......................................................................15 第一項《東協憲章》內容分析..............................................................19 第二項東協決策機制..............................................................................21 第三項東協爭端解決機制......................................................................24 第二節從東協角度看南海問題......................................................................27 第一項東協區域論壇與南海問題..........................................................27 第二項東協主權概念與南海問題..........................................................28 第三節東協整體對南海之政策......................................................................30 第四節小結......................................................................................................35 第三章東協國家與南海利益............................. 36 第一節東協聲索國暨南海能源資源..............................................................36 第一項南海能源資源現況......................................................................36 第二項東協聲索國石油與天然氣狀況..................................................37 第三項、聲索國南海能源資源利益行為..................................................39 第二節東協聲索國在南海能源資源上的競合..........................................47 第一項、東協南海能源資源合作..............................................................47 第二項、東協中國南海能源資源合作..............................................................48 第三項、東協中國南海能源資源衝突......................................................48 第三節東協聲索國暨南海漁業資源..........................................................50 第一項、南海漁業現況..............................................................................50 第二項、南海國家漁業主張......................................................................52 第四節東協聲索國在南海漁業資源競合狀況..........................................57 第一項、漁業衝突實例..............................................................................57 第二項、南海漁業管理..............................................................................59 第五節小結......................................................................................................66 第四章南海結盟政治:東協國家南海平衡策略............... 67 第一節、南海威脅平衡論..................................................................................67 第二節東協合作安全和大國平衡策略..........................................................68 第三節東協南海軍事合作..............................................................................70 第四節南海自由航行利益..............................................................................73 第一項、美國南海自由航行權主張..........................................................74 第二項、中國對美國南海自由航行之回應..............................................75 第三項、東協國家對美國南海自由航行權主張之看法..........................76 第五節南海結盟政治......................................................................................78 第六節小結......................................................................................................81 第五章大國政治角力:東協國家南海政策變化研析........... 83 第一節中美南海對抗......................................................................................83 第二節中國「南海核心利益說」之前時期..................................................87 第一項、東協與中國南海共同開發..........................................................87 第二項、二○○五年中、菲、越聯合海事石油探勘三方協定............88 第三項、中國南海共同合作與東協一致性..............................................90 第三節二○一○中國「南海核心利益說」與其影響性..............................91 第一項、二○一○年中美南海勢力動作與政策......................................92 第二項、東協國家對中國「南海核心利益說」之回應..........................95 第四節中國「南海核心利益說」之後時期:東協各國反應......................97 第一項、東協國家提升軍備......................................................................97 第二項、東協聲索國外交戰術..................................................................98 第三項、東協擬定《南海行為準則》....................................................101 第四項、中國回應....................................................................................103 第五節小結....................................................................................................107 第六章結論.......................................... 109 參考文獻................................................114 圖次 圖3-1 東亞專屬經濟海域劃界圖...........................56 表次 表3-1 南海海域漁業資源管理相關計畫......................64 表5-1 東協國家南海政策變化概覽..........................105 |
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