URN |
etd-0525114-154653 |
Author |
Wu-Hsuan Liao |
Author's Email Address |
No Public. |
Statistics |
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Department |
Public Affairs Management |
Year |
2013 |
Semester |
2 |
Degree |
Master |
Type of Document |
|
Language |
zh-TW.Big5 Chinese |
Title |
The dynamic correlation analysis of government public debt and social spending |
Date of Defense |
2014-06-09 |
Page Count |
55 |
Keyword |
Panel Smooth Transition Regression Models
Co-movement
Social spending
Wavelet coherency analysis
Government public debt
|
Abstract |
There’re different views about government debt and social spending in previous studies, and some scholars indicate that it’s not enough to apply static correlation analysis to explain the correlation between the above two variables in the aspects of time and frequency. As a result, the study applies dynamic frequency analysis to examine the dynamic correlation between government debt and social spending. The samples are selected from OECD member countries, and the chosen countries are those with more completed data from 1980 to 2010. First, the study uses PSTR model to examine whether the heterogeneity and correlation exist between the two variables or not. Second, wavelet coherency analysis is applied to analyze the dynamic correlation of the samples to understand the changes between government debt and social spending in the aspects of time and frequency. In the PSTR model, smooth transition and heterogeneity between government debt and social spending are found. Through wavelet coherence analysis, the study finds that instability and dynamic changes exist between government debt and social spending, and the co-movement between the two variables are more intensive in short-term period than in long-term period. |
Advisory Committee |
Chien-Chiang Lee - chair
Chun-Ping Chang - co-chair
Pei-fen Chen - co-chair
Ji-Hwa Wu - advisor
Chyi-Lu Jang - advisor
|
Files |
indicate access worldwide |
Date of Submission |
2014-06-25 |