| Abstract |
Ecotourism is a concept that is getting more and more attention worldwide. Chiku wetland has many functions and values, and its cultivation, salt industries, special coastal features and ecological resources, all significantly contribute to Chiku’s ecotourism development. It is of great importance to consider the local economy, environment, ecology, and society as interacting parts in the patchy whole that is ecotourism. In order to do so, this study used the well established DSR (Driving forces-State-Response) framework to build a sustainable ecotourism indicator system for the Chiku wetland. The System Dynamics method was chosen to understand system structure with causal-loop diagrams and system behavior in the long term with a dynamic simulation model. Lack of observational data, was compensated by sensitivity analysis, and other model verification techniques.
Finally, the Monte Carlo method was used to perform an exploratory multi-policy analysis. Its results were analyzed using decision tree analysis. It is hoped that these results can assist decision makers to plan management policies. |
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