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論文名稱 Title |
臺灣股市營收宣告期間報酬走勢與投資人注意力之探討 Investors Attentions and the Abnormal Return Patterns During Sales Announcement of Taiwanese Stock Market |
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系所名稱 Department |
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畢業學年期 Year, semester |
語文別 Language |
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學位類別 Degree |
頁數 Number of pages |
40 |
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研究生 Author |
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指導教授 Advisor |
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召集委員 Convenor |
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口試委員 Advisory Committee |
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口試日期 Date of Exam |
2020-05-29 |
繳交日期 Date of Submission |
2020-06-07 |
關鍵字 Keywords |
事件研究法、行為財務學、投資人注意力、異常報酬、營收宣告 Event Study, Behavioral Finance, Abnormal Return, Sales Announcement, Investor Attention |
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統計 Statistics |
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中文摘要 |
臺灣證券市場每月之營收宣告為投資人獲取公司營運狀況之重要管道,過去文獻發現投資人關注程度愈高的股票在財務宣告期間之股價報酬會呈現先升後降的走勢,故本文欲探討臺灣股票市場中投資人關注程度愈高的股票,在營收宣告期間是否會有特殊之異常報酬表現;本文使用過去期間的股票績效表現、市場周轉率與極端報酬變數做為衡量投資人注意力之代理變數,實證發現臺灣股市在營收宣告期間的累積異常報酬表現顯著為負,本文定義之營收宣告期間為營收宣告日前第四個交易日至營收宣告日後第五個交易日,而過去期間投資人關注程度愈高的股票在營收宣告期間之異常報酬表現最差,且不論是以過去期間股票績效、交易量及正向之極端股票報酬當作投資人注意力代理變數做為探討,或是進一步控制營收宣告結果之好壞,皆能發現相同之情形。 |
Abstract |
Sales Announcement is an essential way for investors to access the operating information about companies in the Taiwanese stock market. The past studies found that the winners in the market will go up before the announcement date and then get a reverse after the announcement date. In this paper, I used past stock return performance, trade volume, and extreme stock return as proxies for measuring investor attention. The most important result I found is that when stocks with great investor attention will suffer the worst abnormal return in the sales announcement period. |
目次 Table of Contents |
論文審定書 i 中文摘要 ii 英文摘要 iii 第一章 緒論 1 第二章 文獻回顧 3 2.1 投資人注意力 3 2.2 投資人注意力與股票報酬之關聯 4 2.3 財務宣告期間之股價報酬走勢 5 第三章 研究設計 7 3.1 研究架構 7 3.2 研究方法-事件研究法 7 3.3 資料來源與樣本選取 11 3.4 變數定義與樣本分群說明 11 第四章 實證結果 13 4.1 臺灣證券市場營收宣告期間異常報酬情形 13 4.2 過去股價表現與營收宣告期間異常報酬情形之關聯 15 4.3 其他投資人注意力因子之探討 21 4.4 穩健性測試 27 第五章 結論 30 參考文獻 31 |
參考文獻 References |
一、 中文部分 1. 沈中華,李建然. (2000). 事件研究法: 財務與會計實證研究必備. 華泰文化 二、 英文部分 1. Aboody, D., Lehavy, R., & Trueman, B. (2010). Limited attention and the earnings announcement returns of past stock market winners. Review of Accounting Studies, 15(2), 317-344. 2. Aouadi, A., Arouri, M., & Teulon, F. (2013). Investor attention and stock market activity: Evidence from France. Economic Modelling, 35, 674-681. 3. Bali, T. G., Cakici, N., & Whitelaw, R. F. (2011). Maxing out: Stocks as lotteries and the cross-section of expected returns. Journal of Financial Economics, 99(2), 427-446. 4. Barber, B. M., & Odean, T. (2008). All that glitters: The effect of attention and news on the buying behavior of individual and institutional investors. The review of financial studies, 21(2), 785-818. 5. Bernard, V. L. (1992). Stock price reactions to earnings announcements: A summary of recent anomalous evidence and possible explanations. 6. Black, F. (1986). Noise. The journal of finance, 41(3), 528-543. 7. Chemmanur, T. J., & Yan, A. (2019). Advertising, attention, and stock returns. Quarterly Journal of Finance, 9(03), 1950009. 8. Da, Z., Engelberg, J., & Gao, P. (2011). In search of attention. The Journal of Finance, 66(5), 1461-1499. 9. De Long, J. B., Shleifer, A., Summers, L. H., & Waldmann, R. J. (1990). Noise trader risk in financial markets. Journal of political Economy, 98(4), 703-738. 10. Dukas, R. (2004). Causes and consequences of limited attention. Brain, Behavior and Evolution, 63(4), 197-210. 11. Fehle, F., Tsyplakov, S., & Zdorovtsov, V. (2005). Can companies influence investor behaviour through advertising? Super bowl commercials and stock returns. European Financial Management, 11(5), 625-647. 12. Foster, G., Olsen, C., & Shevlin, T. (1984). Earnings releases, anomalies, and the behavior of security returns. Accounting Review, 574-603. 13. Gervais, S., Kaniel, R., & Mingelgrin, D. H. (2001). The high‐volume return premium. The Journal of Finance, 56(3), 877-919. 14. Grossman, S. J., & Stiglitz, J. E. (1980). On the impossibility of informationally efficient markets. The American economic review, 70(3), 393-408. 15. Hirshleifer, D., & Teoh, S. H. (2003). Limited attention, information disclosure, and financial reporting. Journal of accounting and economics, 36(1-3), 337-386. 16. Hung, W., & Yang, J. J. (2018). The MAX effect: Lottery stocks with price limits and limits to arbitrage. Journal of Financial Markets, 41, 77-91. 17. Hur, J., & Singh, V. (2017). Cross‐Section of Expected Returns and Extreme Returns: The Role of Investor Attention and Risk Preferences. Financial Management, 46(2), 409-431. 18. Kahneman, D., 1973. Attention and Effort, Englewood and Cliffs, NJ: Prentice Hall. 19. Lee, D. H., Kim, M. K., & Kim, T. S. (2016). Abnormal Trading Volume and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns. KAIST College of Business Working Paper Series, (2016-008). 20. Lou, D. (2014). Attracting investor attention through advertising. The Review of Financial Studies, 27(6), 1797-1829. 21. Merton, R. C. (1987). A simple model of capital market equilibrium with incomplete information. The journal of finance, 42(3), 483-510. 22. Odean, T. (1999). Do investors trade too much?. American economic review, 89(5), 1279-1298. 23. Pashler, H., & Johnston, J. C. (1998). Attentional limitations in dual-task performance. In: Pashler H, editor. Attention. Hove (United Kingdom): Psychology Press/Erlbaum. pp. 24. Trueman, B., Wong, M. F., & Zhang, X. J. (2003). Anomalous stock returns around internet firms’ earnings announcements. Journal of Accounting and Economics, 34(1-3), 249-271. 25. Vozlyublennaia, N. (2014). Investor attention, index performance, and return predictability. Journal of Banking & Finance, 41, 17-35. 26. Zhang, W., Shen, D., Zhang, Y., & Xiong, X. (2013). Open source information, investor attention, and asset pricing. Economic Modelling, 33, 613-619 |
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